In limited testing using both AGOL and SAML authenticated accounts, the issue persists. There is some small degrees of success when trying to publish a new layer. In a few cases, when it errors out, you can click publish on the Service Definition that is uploaded and it will continue to create the service, even though it failed on the publish.
Talked with Esri tech support this morning about it and after we got past the whole, you don't need a screen share session to review what I am telling you and the logs piece, they are escalating the issue.
Again, only appears to impact Hive 1 (https://services1.arcgis.com)
