Would like to map the possible spread of COVID - 19 from point data, can move to a centroid of the county and after there I am lost.
I'm not sure if converting the point data to raster would be particularly helpful for analysis, as health data is discrete and raster data is continuous.
I would try this learn lesson on Emerging Hotspot Analysis, as it may answer your questions: https://www.esri.com/training/catalog/5cf6d5842845f65b2cca2e67/space-time-analysis%3A-finding-tempor...
Additionally, take a look at the new time series forecasting tools in Pro: Introducing Time Series Forecasting in ArcGIS Pro
