Our Esri account manager has confirmed there is something in the works for Desktop-like licensing for ArcGIS Pro, with an expected availability of Q1 2016 with the 1.2 release. "we plan to offer “role-based” term licensing for on-premises deployments in the future. ...We want to assure our user community that this [subscription licensing] is an alternative, not a replacement, to how we provide our software. ... we are working on a license enablement process that will allow customers to continue to use their ArcGIS Pro licenses. [in event of lapsed maintenance] * Please note, however, that your Named User login credentials for ArcGIS Online or Portal for ArcGIS accounts will remain expired until you renew your ArcGIS for Desktop maintenance. * If you want to use ArcGIS Pro with either ArcGIS Online or Portal for ArcGIS, you will need to renew your ArcGIS for Desktop maintenance. " So with this revised model it's only the online portions of ArcGIS Pro which will get turned off or become unavailable when the subscription lapses. That sounds fair. I look forward to seeing the particulars before I rest easy though (the devils in the details and all that).
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